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Investment Strategy Bulletin
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Investment Strategy Bulletin ꟾ Jul 19, 2025 By Citi Wealth Insights
Earnings Defy Policy Pressures
Key takeaways: Mostly benign inflation data and solid bank earnings supports our view that the US economy is in good health, despite the sentiment overhang from tariffs and policy shifts. We continue to believe that the data does not argue for the Fed to ease policy rates this summer – even as the White House has increased its criticism of current Fed policy. With US equity markets hovering around all-time highs.
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Weekly FX Focus ꟾ 18th July 2025
FX Focus: 25% tariff on Japan a short-term setback for Yen bulls
A 25% tariff on Japanese exports would raise short-term economic and political costs for Japan. This likely pulls back optimism and sets the Yen back. Our Head of Global FX Strategy, Jaideep Tiwari, explores the impact of President Trump's pronouncement post the end of the tariff pause for the JPY.
FX Perspectives | July 3rd, 2025
FX Perspectives: Troubling Times for USD
As we pass the Mid-year mark, more headwinds for the USD emerged, showing cracks in its status as a reserve currency. Are there beneficiaries from a weaker dollar? Our Head of FX Strategy, Jaideep Tiwari, examines the macroeconomic factors and look globally for potential beneficiaries in this economic landscape.
Click here to listen to the latest episode.
Middle East Strategy ꟾ May 2025
Middle East Strategy: What OPEC + output hikes mean for investors
After years of restraint, OPEC+ is hiking production. The group announced it will raise oil output by 411k barrels per day (b/d) in June, similar to its April increase. Markets had expected just 140k b/d. OPEC+ also says it will speed up the return to market of 2.2 million barrels per day that it had withdrawn in recent years, with the potential to pause or reverse the decision.
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Investment Lab
Investment Lab
The cost of cashing out
When markets become volatile, it can be tempting to try to ‘time the market’ or wait for a clear recovery. However, history shows that investing in this manner can lead to long-term underperformance compared to a strategy of remaining invested.
Sustainable Investing Spotlight
Planting for tomorrow: Weaving sustainability into the path toward food security
Rising global food insecurity has come under the spotlight following a series of geopolitical shocks, including the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Food security concerns have also been compounded by the effects of a shifting climate and increasing evidence of damage caused by accelerating biodiversity loss and water scarcity. Amid concerns about immediate and long-term food security, agriculture policies are caught in the crossfire between short-term food security and sustainability.
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Warning: These figures are estimates / examples only. They are not a reliable guide to the future performance of this investment.
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Citibank N.A. UAE is registered with Central Bank of UAE under license numbers BSD/504/83 for Al Wasl Branch Dubai, 13/184/2019 for Mall of the Emirates Branch Dubai, BSD/2819/9 for Sharjah Branch, and BSD/692/83 for Abu Dhabi Branch. Tel.: 04 311 4000.
Citibank N.A. - UAE Branch is licensed by the Central Bank of the UAE as a branch of a foreign bank.
Citibank N.A. UAE is licensed with UAE Securities and Commodities Authority (“SCA”) to undertake the financial activity of A) Financial Consulting, Introduction and Promotion under license number 20200000097 B) Trading Broker in International Markets under license number 20200000198 C) Portfolios Management under license number 20200000240 D) Custody under license number 602003.
Copyright © 2025 Citigroup Inc.